Consistency, not sequence: a stat that landed in at least 8 of the team's last 10
games — 8/10, 9/10 or 10/10. A team that won 8 of 10 but lost the last two shows up
here and not in Streaks; a team on a 3-game run that has only hit 3 times in 10 shows up
in Streaks only. ★ marks the selections that satisfy
both — a live streak and an 8-in-10 hit rate — and those carry the star in the
Streaks list as well. Every market is analysed, and where a team has fewer than ten games
on file the card states the real denominator (9/9, 8/8) instead of pretending it has ten.
Runs most likely to continue, weighted towards the strongest competitions.
Confidence is the modelled chance the run survives the next match;
break-even is the minimum price worth taking (1 ÷ probability).
Long-running selections the market should price generously. Higher odds mean
lower probability — treat these as value, not bankers.
Three independent tickets built from every sport's streak model. A ticket takes the
strongest legs available, so it may mix sports — or end up all football, all basketball,
whatever the runs say that day. Every ticket carries at least 15 legs, the minimum
SportyBet's Flexi option wants, with max 5 losses as the insurance line. Only
markets SportyBet accepts on a Flexi slip are used — favourites/1X2, over–under goals,
both teams to score, corners, bookings, shots on target and handicaps — so the stat markets
it blocks (match shots, throw-ins, fouls, tackles, offsides) never appear. No
team appears twice on one ticket and the day's matches are shared out between the three
tickets, so they do not cannibalise each other (a second leg from the same match is marked
in the table when it is needed to reach 15). Every leg kicks off inside the next 24
hours: the day's stake settles and rolls into tomorrow, which is what makes the
compounding work. Every leg is priced at 1.50 or better.
Only place a leg if SportyBet's price is at or above its break-even — that is what
keeps the ticket value-positive. The Flexi figures are arithmetic on the modelled prices,
not SportyBet's internal split, so check their calculator before staking.